u/Laptimef1

I looked at the upgrade counts and pace data from the 2026 Miami GP - Mercedes brought almost nothing and still won. Here's what the numbers suggest

Miami was the first race where most teams brought serious development packages. I put together an overview of what each team targeted, compared clean fuel-adjusted pace before and after, and pulled the Leclerc vs Piastri telemetry to understand what Ferrari's aero package delivered on track. The pack is slowly becomming tighter

A few things stood out

  • Mercedes skipped major upgrades deliberately, they did a calculated risk based on their cushion in the first three races.
  • Ferrari's cornering advantage shows clearly in the telemetry. T1-3 and T11-16 go to Leclerc. Every straight goes to Piastri's Mercedes engine.
  • Red Bull made the biggest pace swing race to race. The data suggests a genuine recovery, not just a good weekend.
  • Cadillac brought 9 upgrades and finished both cars a lap down. Hard to explain that without questioning whether the baseline car has deeper issues.
  • Alpine clear midfield leader now, maybe Haas will do a pushback on the upcomming upgrades.

Happy to discuss methodology or push back on anything in the comments.Where do you think the development race goes from here?

Full piece on laptime.me

reddit.com
u/Laptimef1 — 5 days ago