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I looked at the upgrade counts and pace data from the 2026 Miami GP - Mercedes brought almost nothing and still won. Here's what the numbers suggest
Miami was the first race where most teams brought serious development packages. I put together an overview of what each team targeted, compared clean fuel-adjusted pace before and after, and pulled the Leclerc vs Piastri telemetry to understand what Ferrari's aero package delivered on track. The pack is slowly becomming tighter
A few things stood out
- Mercedes skipped major upgrades deliberately, they did a calculated risk based on their cushion in the first three races.
- Ferrari's cornering advantage shows clearly in the telemetry. T1-3 and T11-16 go to Leclerc. Every straight goes to Piastri's Mercedes engine.
- Red Bull made the biggest pace swing race to race. The data suggests a genuine recovery, not just a good weekend.
- Cadillac brought 9 upgrades and finished both cars a lap down. Hard to explain that without questioning whether the baseline car has deeper issues.
- Alpine clear midfield leader now, maybe Haas will do a pushback on the upcomming upgrades.
Happy to discuss methodology or push back on anything in the comments.Where do you think the development race goes from here?
Full piece on laptime.me
u/Laptimef1 — 5 days ago