Just figured I'd do a short review of Adam Mancini's substack newsletter as someone who has been subscribed for quite some time. If you are interested in trading ES or SPX, you would have certainly run into Adam's newsletter.
First, it’s important to say what the newsletter is not. It is not a magic signal service, it is not a guarantee of profits. Anyone buying a market newsletter expecting guaranteed entries, exits, or effortless profits is probably going to be disappointed. Trading does not work that way. Its just a resource that can help with trade planning around ES.
What the newsletter does provide is a structured daily framework for the S&P / ES market and specifically it provides one actionable setup to use...the Failed Breakdown. For me, having one specific setup to master has changed my entire approach as someone who has been jumping from setup to setup and not really sticking to anything. You may learn this one setup, or add it to others you use, but it provides a great starting point.
That and the hyper precise levels are the main value in my view, plus the daily roadmap he gives for WHERE To stalk failed breakdowns. For traders who already understand basic market structure and want a daily roadmap, that can be useful. It gives you key areas to watch, possible reactions around those areas, and a general sense of how the market is being framed.
The criticism I understand is that some people may expect too much from it. If you are brand new, don’t understand futures risk, or want someone to tell you exactly what to buy and sell with no decision-making, this probably is not the right product. You still need to execute, size properly, manage risk, and make your own decisions. Your not going to read any newsletter on substack and magically be profitable.
The strongest use case, in my opinion, is for someone who already trades ES/SPX and wants a consistent pre-market framework to compare against their own plan. The weakest use case is someone looking for easy money, exact alerts, or certainty.
So my view is:
Pros:
- Gives you a setup to use
- levels are very precise
- Plan helps develop consistency
- Helps create structure before the trading day
Cons:
- Not beginner-proof
- Not a plug-and-play signal service
- Requires your own judgment and risk management
- Like all market analysis, it can be wrong
Just my two cents! Also the psychology side is quite useful as well and he devotes alot of time to that component. Some of it gets redundant over time but for new traders (myself included when I started) it is useful.