Most of the analysts including AHL said 100 bps hike is worst case scenario. But this has now happened. The market going to react aggressively to this in short term as 143k - 145k index re-rating is on the cards now.
- Resilient stocks like DCR will have its true test now with its <7% dividend yield which does not look too attractive against a 11.5% T-Bond return.
- Tech, Pharma, Cements and Autos will face most of the brunt as growth slows. E&P and fertilizers will have mixed responses.
- Banks will enjoy the smell of cash but non-Islamic banks will have more revenue growth than Islamic.
But all of this is going to be short term action as SBP has already said this is due to the war and not some long term tightening.