u/FrankScaramucci

▲ 30 r/czech

Kolik peněz měsíčně je potřeba k spokojenému životu v Praze (včetně nájemu, bez spoření)?

Pro jednoho člověka. "Spokojený život", lze samozřejmě chápat různě, použijte subjektivní interpretaci, co si pod tím instinktivně představíte.

reddit.com
u/FrankScaramucci — 2 days ago

7 facts* about Waymo that will probably surprise critics

  • Waymo's system is end-to-end. (Source 1)
  • The system supports a camera-only mode and they know how much performance degrades compared to using all sensors. (Source 2, Source 3)
  • The system is robust to errors in the map or to map being temporarily removed. (Source 2)
  • The cost of creating and maintaining HD maps per mile driven is negligible and their architecture probably supports switching to LD maps without a major rewrite. (This is just my deduction.)
  • The huge sensors on the outside is a temporary phase. Personally owned vehicles with Waymo's system will have integrated sensors. (Source 4, I've also read rumors that this is coming in this subreddit)
  • Waymo scaling is not a new thing, it's been somewhat consistent since officially launching to public 5.6 years ago, in fact, it has slowed down a bit in the last year. The annualized growth of weekly paid rides has been 4.5x per year. (Source 5)
  • Waymo did ten challenging 100-mile routes without human intervention 16 years ago. Each route was tried repeatedly but still, it's notable that being able to drive for 2 hours without intervention is something that Waymo could do such a long time ago. (Source 6)

* Some of these are not 100% certain but rather probably approximately correct.

Edit: Many of these claims are about the Waymo Foundation Model. It's not clear to me whether it is actually deployed in production. One sign that it isn't deployed yet is that the Hyundai vehicles are supposed to use a next generation of their software.

u/FrankScaramucci — 6 days ago

For example, if you're aiming for 1x of average net wage, you will be living like someone who earns the average wage, spends all of it (saves nothing), and doesn't own a home.

As an example, in the Czech Republic, the average net wage is €1684. If you don't work, you also have to pay €136 for health insurance. So to have the lifestyle of someone who earns the average wage, rents and spends 100% of their income, you need €1684 + €136 = €1820. At a 4% SWR you need a €546k portfolio.

The reason I'm asking this is that I often see claims such as retiring with €1M plus a home (so maybe €1.5M) is almost poverty these days. So I wonder, is it because of:

  • a higher cost of living
  • people consider the average wage barely survivable (most people earn less than that and don't spend it fully)
  • people aim for a lower SWR than 4%
reddit.com
u/FrankScaramucci — 6 days ago

Just an observation, I notice that there's a quiet assumption that Waymo will just keep scaling their robotaxis and stay in that lane. But IMO it's almost certain that Waymo will offer an easy-to-integrate package for car makers that will probably be priced at under $10k and integrated into the car. It could be something similar to the most recent system by Rivian. The big question is what is the timeline and path to get there.

reddit.com
u/FrankScaramucci — 11 days ago