I'm interested if anyone is modelling these round-based esports. I have no skillset related to programming or building models, but I am originating on esports without one with success. I am placing all of my bets on non-soft books like kalshi/polymarket/pinnacle. With a 4000 bet sample across live/prematch and running at 10% ROI prematch.
In the last 4 months I've noticed that the market is getting tougher with more liquidity & higher limits. Especially on poly, which is where I'm betting 90% of my volume. I've seen a few sharp accounts that I'm occasionally against who are most definitely using a model.
The main esport I'm focusing on (Valorant) has a way smaller data pool than CS so models aren't dominant yet (in tier1 cs that is the case). But I'm concious of my edge being erased by smarter market participants over time, without taking any action to try and improve my process.
I'm looking for someone who is currently building a model, or is knowledgeable enough with these games & would be interested in doing so. I don't really know where else to try find people with a skillset required to build one.