2026 is stacked. Here are my quick-hit worldwide box office predictions for the biggest tentpoles.
The Billion Dollar Club
- Avengers: Doomsday: $1.6B - $1.8B. RDJ as Doom is the biggest cultural event since Endgame.
- Spider-Man: Brand New Day: $1.2B - $1.4B. Spidey prints money, prime summer release guarantees a massive haul.
- The Super Mario Galaxy Movie: $1.2B - $1.4B. Illumination + Nintendo nostalgia is an unstoppable combo.
The Heavy Hitters
- Toy Story 5: $900M - $1.0B. Pixar's safest, most bankable franchise. Gonna make a little less than the last but will still be huge
- Dune: Part Three: $750M - $900M. Has to fight Avengers but has exclusive IMAX screens in December, and the momentum is huge.
- Michael: $800M - $950M. The global appeal for this biopic is astronomical due to good audience reviews.
- Moana (Live-Action): $700M - $800M. Standard Disney live-action money, but could be hurt slightly by remake fatigue.
The Wildcards
- The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping: $600M - $750M. Riding the strong momentum of the last prequel.
- Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu: $450M-$550M The return of Star Wars to theaters, but Disney+ saturation might cap its ceiling and also franchise fatigue is real.
- Supergirl: $550M - $650M. The first real major test of the new DCU's drawing power.
- Project Hail Mary: $650M - $680M. Other projections says its gonna cross 700 milion. I just don't see it happening. Its already run out of fuel.
- Clayface: $250M - $400M. R-rated DC body horror. Has serious breakout potential if word-of-mouth is strong.
- Street Fighter: $250M - $400M. Legendary needs to absolutely nail the tone to cash in on the video game boom.
- Mortal Kombat II: $150M - $250M. R-rated gore limits the general audience, but the core fans will show up and its obviously gonna gross more that its predecessor.