
I tried to calculate the advantage of the running order in the results.
So I put the last 4 years result into anexcel and basicly what I did was put the results into an excel with the running order of each participant, then I multiplied the running order by the number of participants minus in the final minus one minus the result (so for Nemo, who was first, it would be 24-1 so they would be counted 23 times, the 22 for Baby Lasagna, 21 for Alyna and Jerry Heil, etc.) this way I can take into account all the results but still have the top results having the heavier impact, then I added them and did the average (which is under "Average best"). The "Advantage" refers to the advantage that entries have by performing in the 2nd half and it is calculated by the "Average best" minus half of the number of participants.
So lets put an example of a year in which there were 26 participants in the final. If the "Average best" was 13 then the advantage would be of 0 and you could say that that year there was no advantage by performing on the second half, but if in that same year the "Average best" was 15 the the advantage would be of 2 and you could say that countries that performed in the second half had a strong advantage.
As the results show, in all the past four years there has been an advantage by performing later in the running order but it has become less strong since 2024, which was the first year in which you could vote since the start of the sow and not have to wait until the end to vote. It is also worth noticing that the running order isnt completly random and it is made taking into account that entries with a latter running order will score less. Producers will try not to have the ending result being affected greatly by running order, so they will try to make the best entries perform latter, which could affect the results.