u/Ethan_brooks8225

Watching this pullback before the next move on Gold🥇

Gold is presently trading above the recovery zone having bounced sharply from the 4500 level. The pair had tried pushing higher close to 4750-4770 but faced rejection, showing that sellers remain active around this level.

Despite the short-term pullback, the chart setup has improved from the last week, and buyers are still attempting to defend higher lows on the 4-hour chart.

At the moment, my eye is on the 4700 level where price can test this area in order to decide what the next action is going to be.

Support levels:

• 4700-4680

• 4650-4620

Resistance levels:

• 4750-4770

• 4820-4850

Patience is key at the moment rather than chasing candles at this level as a proper pullback to support would offer clearer direction to follow.

A continuation of the buyers defending higher lows might lead to a move towards upper resistance areas.

This does not constitute investment advice; it's just a market perspective on gold.

u/Ethan_brooks8225 — 3 days ago
▲ 2 r/u_Ethan_brooks8225+1 crossposts

Gold trying to recover but sellers still holding the trend

Gold is experiencing a short-term recovery after the robust bearish price action from the 4,850 level. The price is reversing strongly off the 4,520-4,550 support levels, although momentum is beginning to fade with increasing resistance.

Chart analysis highlights:

Market still in overall downtrend structure

The price remains bound by the larger downtrend line, and market action remains lower highs on the higher timeframe.

Momentum fading from recovery action

Following the rapid bullish reversal from the bottom price action, there are signs of hesitation in the candles near the 4,700 price level.

Moving average cluster resistance

All major moving averages are clustered together, which means that the market is likely facing a decision point. The price action failing below these indicates that bears are still active.

Resistance zone:

4,690 - 4,720

This area has repeatedly turned back price action and correlates with the dynamic resistance moving average cluster.

Support zone:

4,650 - 4,620

Failure here would send price back to the 4,580 support area.

Possible Scenarios:

Positive Scenario:

A breakout and a closing above 4,720 could allow for a move towards 4,770+, while also damaging the bearish setup.

Negative Scenario:

A rejection from current resistance levels could allow for further downtrend continuation, particularly if prices drop below 4,650.

Overall Bias:

Neutral to negative in the short term.

The rally is quite impressive, yet the trend setup is more bullish.

u/Ethan_brooks8225 — 4 days ago

Gold is showing a short-term bullish recovery after rebounding strongly from the 4,500 support zone. The recent breakout above the descending trendline and sustained move above the short-term EMA suggest buyers are regaining momentum.

📈 Bullish Signals:

Price reclaimed the 4,700–4,725 area, which is now acting as immediate support.

Strong impulsive candles indicate aggressive buying after the recent sell-off.

Higher lows are forming, signaling improving market structure.

⚠️ Key Resistance:

4,750–4,775 remains the major resistance zone.

If bulls break and hold above this area, upside continuation toward 4,820+ becomes possible.

📉 Risk Factors:

Overall broader structure still remains inside a larger corrective range.

Failure to hold above 4,700 could trigger another pullback toward 4,650–4,600.

📊 Outlook: Short-term momentum favors the bulls, but confirmation only comes with a clean breakout above 4,775. Until then, traders should watch for volatility and possible rejection near resistance.

u/Ethan_brooks8225 — 6 days ago

Major employment data from 🇨🇦 Canada and 🇺🇸 United States will be released today, and traders are expecting strong volatility across the forex and gold market. The actual figures will be released at news time and could create sharp market movements.

🇨🇦 Canada Employment Data • Employment Change — Previous: 14.1K | Forecast: 12.9K

• Unemployment Rate — Previous: 6.7% | Forecast: 6.7%

🇺🇸 United States Employment Data • Average Hourly Earnings m/m — Previous: 0.2% | Forecast: 0.3%

• Non-Farm Employment Change — Previous: 178K | Forecast: 65K

• Unemployment Rate — Previous: 4.3% | Forecast: 4.3%

📊 Market expectations currently suggest slower U.S. job growth compared to the previous release, while wage growth is expected to improve slightly. The actual numbers released during the news event will decide the real market direction and may heavily impact USD strength, gold prices, and overall volatility.

⚠️ High volatility expected in: XAUUSD • USDJPY • EURUSD • GBPUSD • US30 • NASDAQ • USDCAD

Trade carefully and manage risk during the release. 📈

reddit.com
u/Ethan_brooks8225 — 7 days ago
▲ 3 r/technicalanalysis+2 crossposts

Gold is showing a decent recovery after the strong sell-off from the 4,820 area. Buyers stepped in near the 4,500 support zone and pushed price back above short-term resistance.

Current structure looks like a short-term bullish rebound inside a bigger bearish channel. Price is now testing a key supply/resistance area around 4,720–4,750 where sellers reacted previously.

What stands out:

Strong bounce from the lower trendline/support zone

Momentum shifted bullish short term with higher lows forming

Price reclaimed the moving average, showing improving buyer strength

Major resistance still sitting near the upper channel/trendline area

Bullish scenario:

If gold holds above 4,680 and breaks 4,750 cleanly, continuation toward the next resistance zone could happen.

Bearish scenario:

Rejection from current resistance may lead to another pullback toward 4,680 or lower support areas.

Right now it feels like buyers are gaining momentum, but price is still trading inside a broader corrective structure.

u/Ethan_brooks8225 — 7 days ago

Trend: Short-term bullish recovery inside a larger bearish structure

Price bounced strongly from the 4,520–4,560 demand zone and reclaimed short-term resistance, but overall lower-high structure still remains on higher timeframe.

Key Levels:

Resistance: 4,740 – 4,760 (major supply + trendline resistance)

Support: 4,680 – 4,660 (EMA support + breakout zone)

Price Action Insight:

Strong impulsive move from the recent lows shows buyers stepping in aggressively

Price broke above descending resistance trendline = bullish momentum improving

Volume profile shows heavy trading activity around 4,620–4,680 acting as key reaction zone

Current push nearing major resistance area where sellers may re-enter

Outlook:

Above 4,760 → continuation toward 4,800+ possible

Rejection near current zone could trigger pullback toward 4,680

Overall bias shifts bullish short-term, but larger bearish structure not fully invalidated yet

u/Ethan_brooks8225 — 8 days ago
▲ 2 r/XAUUSDFXAnalysis+1 crossposts

Gold is showing a strong bullish recovery after breaking out of the short-term descending channel near 4600–4650. 📈

The recent rally pushed price back above key moving averages, confirming momentum has shifted in favor of buyers. Bulls are now testing the 4735–4750 resistance zone, which is a critical level for continuation.

Key observations:

Clear breakout from bearish structure

Higher lows forming since the 4520 reversal area

Moving averages turning bullish again

4700 acting as immediate support

If price holds above 4700, the next upside targets could be 4780 → 4820.

A rejection near current resistance may trigger a healthy pullback before continuation.

Overall bias: Bullish unless price falls back below 4660

u/Ethan_brooks8225 — 8 days ago

Gold looks like it’s shifting back into bullish momentum after weeks of bearish pressure. 📈

Price recently broke above the descending channel resistance near 4680–4700, which is a strong sign buyers are regaining control. The move from the 4520 area created a clean higher-low structure, and now bulls are pushing toward the 4740–4760 resistance zone.

Key takeaways:

Downtrend structure appears weakened after the breakout

Strong bullish candles + MA reclaim show momentum strength

4700 now acts as an important support area

If buyers hold above 4700, next targets could be 4760 → 4800

Rejection from current levels may lead to a retest of 4680 support first

Overall bias: Short-term bullish while above 4680 🚀

u/Ethan_brooks8225 — 8 days ago

Buy Zone: 4700–4704

Targets:

🎯 TP1: 4708

🎯 TP2: 4712

🎯 TP3: 4716

Momentum looks bullish if support holds above 4700. Buyers could push for a quick continuation move.

Manage risk properly & wait for confirmation before entry. 🔥

reddit.com
u/Ethan_brooks8225 — 8 days ago

Market structure is clearly bearish — lower highs, lower lows, and price respecting a descending channel.

The recent bounce from ~4500 looks weak and corrective, not a true reversal. Price is still trading below the EMA cluster, which is acting as solid dynamic resistance.

🔑 Key Levels:

Resistance: 4580–4610 (EMA + trendline confluence)

Next Resistance: 4640–4660 (channel top)

Support: 4520–4500 (recent lows)

⚠️ Rejection near 4600 shows sellers are still in control. That small uptrend forming? Likely just a fragile pullback.

📊 Bias:

Below 4600 → bearish continuation

Break below 4500 → potential for further downside

🧠 Takeaway:

This looks like a classic “sell the rally” market. Unless gold breaks and holds above 4640+, trend stays bearish.

u/Ethan_brooks8225 — 10 days ago