u/Dubski333

After Michael & Prada, I’ve noticed that the drops have been really good so far this year, so I looked into it. And compared to 2025, the numbers look to be really encouraging.

2025 had 7 movies with $100M domestic and over a 3x multiplier:

Avatar: 404M - 4.53x (Holiday)
Sinners: 280M - 5.83x
How To Train Your Dragon: 263M - 3.11x
Mission Impossible: 197M - 3.08x
F1: $190M - 3.33x
Weapons: $152M - 3.48x
The Housemaid: 126M - 6.65x (Holiday)

So far in 2026, there have been 3 movies with $100M domestic and over a 3x multiplier:

Project Hail Mary: 321M - 3.99x
Hoppers: $165M - 3.65x
GOAT: $103M - 3.80x

At first glance, it may not look that impressive. But the holiday season always has high mult movies, so if you take those out there are 5 movies for 2025. Additionally, at this same point in 2025, only 1 of those movies (Sinners) was released.

Michael & Prada both have potential to be 3x mult movies. If they achieve their potential, 2026 would already tie the non-holiday 2025 total. And the summer season has barely just begun. We are very ahead of schedule.

Anecdotally, word of mouth around the movies have been much stronger than in recent years. Maybe the movies have just been better, maybe audience habits are changing, maybe both. But you can feel the excitement around the movies more, at least in my circles. And the numbers seem to show it.

With Conley and Ant (rightfully) getting a lot of the praise for last night, I haven’t seen much attention on what TJ did.

He was awesome. While he was worst on the team in +-, the eye test showed me he stepped up tremendously.

In the non-Wemby minutes, he was relentless at attacking the basket. Getting us easy and quick points, and getting their defenders into foul trouble. Fouling out Castle was huge in the final stretch of the game.

Defensively, he was awesome, always giving 110%. Normally, he bites a lot on pump fakes, but I thought he was really disciplined. He also got so many big rebounds and hustle plays. You can tell he wants to make the most out of this opportunity and not leave the rotation again.

He should be playing every single non-Wemby minute even when Ayo comes back. Could be key to winning this series.