u/Distinct_External

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1952\_United\_States\_House\_of\_Representatives\_elections

Could it happen this year? Maybe not. But if things improve for the GOP agenda somehow by November, then a 2022-style environment would absolutely be enough for this scenario to be realized.

It should also be noted that we'll see more mid-decade redistricting after 2026 and in the leadup to 2028. If Democrats fall short in 2028, then that's another opportunity to see this again.

Source: https://x.com/ZacharyDonnini/status/2048803046575026637

Basically, in a neutral environment, the 2020 results are being viewed as the baseline for the FLGOP. Which means, if applied to a blue wave environment, FL-14 and FL-26 are very doable holds/flips for the FL Dems, while FL-12 and FL-16 are the next interesting prospects.