Is this finite-state reduction architecture for Collatz valid in principle?
I would appreciate feedback on the logical structure of the following finite-state reduction idea for the Collatz problem.
The idea is to encode the remaining “live” part of the dynamics by a finite state
K = (C, t mod 2, p),
where p is a finite label and
0 <= C < 3^17.
The update has the form
C' = (C + 3^17 m)/8,
where m is determined by the current state, 0 <= m <= 7, and the numerator is divisible by 8.
Then
0 <= C + 3^17 m < 8*3^17,
so
0 <= C' < 3^17.
So, if this encoding is faithful, the live part moves inside a finite deterministic graph. Any infinite live path would eventually repeat.
My question is:
If every repeating component and every exit leaf from the finite graph can be shown to either reach 1, reach a smaller odd number, or enter a family that was already closed earlier, is that enough in principle for a global descent proof?
Or is there some standard trap in Collatz arguments where this kind of finite-state reduction still fails?