u/Boring_Waltz_9545

Source- Broadway Grosses, Broadway Box Office -05/10/2026 (broadwayworld.com)

Tony Nominations came just in the nick of time for many of these shows this year, but luckily they seem to have had a mostly positive impact (with one exception). In general, for many shows this was a stronger week than last, most of the loss week to week has more to do with various celebrities rotating in and out (Whitney Levitt and Megan Thee Stallion departed their respective shows), and also there's a missing 3/4 million from The Book of Mormon, which will remain closed for at least another week, best wishes to all working on that show as well.

➡ Awards Watch- Outer Critics Circle Award Winners were announced yesterday, Drama League Winners are announced on Friday, M1y 15, Drama Desk Winners will be announced on Sunday, May 17, and of course the Tony Awards are on June 7

For Award Wins/Nominations, a * demarcates a best musical/best revival nomination/win.

Grosses (chronological order from opening)-

➡ The Great Gatsby - $792k, 75% capacity, $89 atp (Down ~$13k from last week). Began performances March 29, 2024, Open-Ended.

Gross Less-Fees: $697k; Estimated Weekly Operating Cost: $850k/week; Estimated Profit (Loss): ($100k+)

2024 Award Wins: Outer Critics Circle (2), Drama Desk (1), Tony (1)

Not a great week for Gatsby this time out, they largely held station from last week, which was already low for them. These aren't unrecoverable grosses, but it's not a great sign from the new cast, and these are lower numbers than I would consider sustainable.

Estimated percentage recouped: 10%-30%

➡Maybe Happy Ending- $1.0 million gross, 93% capacity, $142 atp (Up ~$148k from last week). Began performances October 16, 2024, Open-Ended

Gross Less-Fees: $896k; Weekly Operating Cost: $765k/week; Estimated Profit (Loss): $50-$150k

2025 Award Wins: New York Drama Critics (1*); Outer Critics Circle (4*); Drama League (2*); Drama Desk (6*); Tony (6*)

Maybe Happy Ending rebounded well back to over $1 million in the stronger overall week for new musicals. This is the final week of Darren Criss in the role of Oliver, so I suspect next week will have very good grosses for them. Beyond that will be very interesting to see.

Estimated percentage recouped: 30%-50%

➡Death Becomes Her- $762k gross, 71% capacity, $90 atp (Up ~$188k from last week). Began performances October 23, 2024, Open-Ended.

Gross Less-Fees: $663k; Estimated Weekly Operating Cost: $900k/week; Estimated Profit (Loss): ($100k+)

2025 Award Wins: Drama Desk (1); Tony (1)

Death Becomes Her rebounded some after missing Michelle Williams for a week. But these numbers are still unsustainably low for this show, and they are the only show from last year that failed to make money last week (by my count). Hopefully they can turn things around soon.

Estimated percentage recouped: 10%-30%

➡Operation Mincemeat- $715k gross, 91% capacity, $124 atp (Up ~$45k from last week). Began performances February 15, 2025, Open-Ended.

Gross Less-Fees: $582k; Estimated Weekly Operating Cost: $560k/week; Estimated Profit (Loss): ($50k)-$50k

2025 Award Wins: Outer Critics Circle (1); Drama Desk (1); Tony (1)

Operation Mincemeat jumped back up pretty well, they continue to put up strong year two numbers.

Estimated percentage recouped: 10%-30%

➡Buena Vista Social Club- $895k gross, 96% capacity, $110 atp (Up ~$128k from last week). Began performances February 21, 2025, Open-Ended.

Gross Less-Fees: $779k; Estimated Weekly Operating Cost: $700k/week; Estimated Profit (Loss): $50k-($50k)

2024 Award Wins: Outer Critics Circle (1); Drama Desk (1)

2025 Award Wins: Chita Rivera (2); Tonys (5); Grammy (1)

BVSC had a fantastic jump back up after a very slow April for them. I would say these are sustainable grosses for them, I hope they can build on this successful week!

Estimated percentage recouped: 10%-30%

➡Just in Time- $838k gross, 100% capacity, $150 atp (Up ~$47k from last week). Began performances March 31, 2025, Open-Ended.

Gross Less-Fees: $729k; Estimated Weekly Operating Cost: $600k/week; Estimated Profit (Loss): $0-$100k

2025 Award Wins: Outer Critics Circle (1); Drama Desk (2)

Jeremy Jordan continues to do his thing, the promotional tracks released by the show seem to have been doing the trick pretty well (at least based on my social media). Glad to see it!

Estimated percentage recouped: 80%-100%

➡️Ragtime- $1.2 million gross, 100% capacity, $142 atp, (Up ~$77k from last week), Began performances September 26, Limited Through August 2, 2026

Gross Less-Fees: $1.040 million; Estimated Weekly Operating Cost: $850k/week; Estimated Profit (Loss): $0-$100k

2026 Award Nominations: Drama League (5*); Outer Critics Circle (6*); Drama Desk (8*); Tonys (11*)

2026 Award Wins: Broadway Ensemble (2); Outer Critics Circle (5*)

Ragtime had a great week, after putting up the second most Tony Nominations for a musical revival ever, they tied for the most Outer Critics Circle awards with Schmigadoon, including winning Best Musical Revival, though it's important to note they were not competing with Cats: The Jellicle Ball. Still, congratulations to Joshua Henry, Ben Levi Ross, Lear deBessonet, 59 Studio, and the entire cast and crew over at the Beaumont!

Estimated percentage recouped: N/A

➡️Chess- $868k gross, 73% capacity, $102 atp, (Down ~$103k from last week). Began performances October 15, 2025, Open-Ended.

Gross Less-Fees: $755k; Estimated Weekly Operating Cost: $900k/week; Estimated Profit (Loss): $0k-($100k)

2026 Award Nominations: Drama League (3*); Outer Critics Circle (2*); Drama Desk (2*); Tonys (5)

2026 Award Wins: Broadway Ensemble (4)

Chess was absolutely the biggest loser last week at the Tony nominations, failing to secure a Best Musical Revival nod. This week it showed in the grosses (though Lea Michele missing time hurt too), Chess took the largest decrease of any show to open this season. As we head into the final month of Lea Michele, and as they maybe begin a campaign for Bryce Pinkham and Hannah Cruz and Nic Christopher, their fortunes may change, but it's an uphill battle for sure.

Estimated percentage recouped: 20%-40%

➡Two Strangers (Carry a Cake Across New York)- $598k gross, 80% capacity, $93 atp, (Up ~$92k from last week). Began Performances November 1, 2025, Open-Ended.

Gross Less-Fees: $509k; Estimated Weekly Operating Cost: $480k/week; Estimated Profit (Loss): $50k-($50k)

2026 Award Nominations: Drama League (2*); Outer Critics Circle (4*); Drama Desk (3*); Tonys (8*)

Two Strangers had a decent response to the Tony Noms, managing to avoid the intensive care unit, and posting their best capacity number in quite a while. Hopefully they can build on this!

Estimated percentage recouped: 0%

➡Cats: The Jellicle Ball- $957k gross, 95% capacity, $108 atp, (Up -$22k from last week), Began Performances March 18, 2026, Open-Ended.

Gross Less-Fees: $819k; Estimated Weekly Operating Cost: $850k/week; Estimated Profit (Loss): ($0)-($100k)

2025 Award Wins: Outer Critics Circle (2*); Drama Desks

2026 Award Nominations: Drama League (3*); Outer Critics Circle (1); Drama Desk (4); Tonys (9*)

Cats remains just under their weekly breakeven, their needle did not get moved much by award nominations it seems. I suspect that will change shortly, but they had the smallest increase of any Best Musical or Best Revival nominee.

Estimated percentage recouped: 0%

➡Titanique- $853k gross, 86% capacity, $93 atp, (Up ~$122k from last week), Began Performances March 18, 2026, Limited through September 20.

Gross Less-Fees: $729k; Estimated Weekly Operating Cost: $900k/week; Estimated Profit (Loss): $50k-($50k)

2026 Award Nominations: Drama League (3*); Drama Desk (1); Tonys (4*)

Titanique posted their best week yet after securing a handful of Tony Nominations, including one for Best Musical. Still below their breakeven, but moving in the right direction.

Estimated percentage recouped: 0%

➡The Rocky Horror Show- $1.0 million gross, 100% capacity, $134 atp, (Up ~$235k from last week), Began Performances March 26, 2026, Limited Through November 29.

Gross Less-Fees: N/A; Estimated Weekly Operating Cost: $750k/week; Estimated Profit (Loss): N/A

2026 Award Nominations: Drama League (4*); Outer Critics Circle (2*); Drama Desk (6*); Tonys (9*)

Rocky Horror was one of the surprise winners last week with Tony Nominations, and that was absolutely reflected this week, with them posting the highest increase of any show week to week. First week over $1 million to boot as well, fantastic all around.

Estimated percentage recouped: N/A

➡Beaches- $475k gross, 51% capacity, $72 atp, (Down ~$44k from last week), Began Performances March 18, 2026, Limited Through September 6.

Gross Less-Fees: $406k; Estimated Weekly Operating Cost: $850k/week; Estimated Profit (Loss): ($100k+)

2026 Award Nominations: Drama League (2*); Outer Critics Circle (1)

If you want to see it, get your tickets sooner rather than later. A complete shut out at the Tony Noms does not bode well for this show, which is already struggling.

Estimated percentage recouped: 0%

➡The Lost Boys- $1.1 million gross, 94% capacity, $91 atp, (Up ~$131k from last week), Began Performances March 27, 2026, Open-Ended.

Gross Less-Fees: $858k; Estimated Weekly Operating Cost: $850k/week; Estimated Profit (Loss): $0-$100k

2026 Award Nominations: Drama League (4*); Outer Critics Circle (11*); Drama Desk (5); Tonys (12*)

2026 Award Wins: Outer Critics Circle (2)

One of the biggest winners at the Tony Nominations, The Lost Boys likely made money last week, and with an average ticket price below $100. Week-to-week profitability with an average ticket price that low would be an excellent sign for the show, especially since they will likely rely on a relatively young fan base to sustain their operations. Lots to like here from Lost Boys.

Estimated percentage recouped: 0%

➡Schmigadoon- $843k gross, 91% capacity, $99 atp (Up ~$197k from last week), Began Performances April 4, 2026, Open-Ended.

Gross Less-Fees: $721k; Estimated Weekly Operating Cost: $750k/week; Estimated Profit (Loss): $50k-($50k)

2026 Award Nominations: Drama League (2*); Outer Critics Circle (8*); Drama Desk (4*); Tony (12*)

2026 Award Wins: Outer Critics Circle (5*)

Schmigadoon had a nice week, the other big winner from the Tony nominations. I think they're in a good spot moving forward. They picked up the first of the Best Musical awards, this one from the Outer Critics Circle. Huge congratulations to Christopher Gattelli, Linda Cho, Cinco Paul, Doug Besterman and Mike Morris, as well as the entire cast and crew over at the Nederlander!

Estimated percentage recouped: 0%

➡Play Roundup:

Stranger Things: The First Shadow- Whiplash of a week for them, once there are more tourists over the summer I suspect they'll do better. Open-ended.

Every Brilliant Thing- Death, taxes, and Daniel Radcliffe being an insane commercial draw on Broadway- the highest average ticket price of the week. Congratulations to Daniel Radcliffe as well for winning the Outer Critics Circle Award for Best Solo Performance. Great week for them all around, two more weeks to see Daniel Radcliffe! Limited through June 28.

Death of a Salesman- One of the biggest hits of the spring, I had my doubts about them filling the Winter Garden but they're doing it. Adding in 9 Tony nominations (including Best Score) will also help, as will their handful of Outer Critics Circle Awards. Limited Through August 9.

Giant- Giant managed a modest increase from last week, and continues to put up strong grosses. Limited Through June 28

Dog Day Afternoon- They've continued to slip with the lukewarm responses at awards ceremonies, though they're still in an ok spot week to week. Just unlikely to recoup. Limited Through July 12.

Becky Shaw- Becky Shaw has been building pretty consistently for like two months now, and they're in a really solid spot, love to see it! Limited Through June 14

The Fear of 13- Fear of 13 is still struggling some for a star led play. Likely not losing money but they're not raking it in either. Limited Through July 12

Proof- Maybe my biggest surprise at the Tony Nominations on the play side, but they're in a good spot gross wise at least still. Limited Through July 12

Joe Turner's Come and Gone- $1 million club for them, after a phenomenal response last week, great for them and I hope it continues! Limited Through July 26

The Balusters- Grosses are picking up, which is good. Limited Through June 7..

Fallen Angels- Fascinating that this show is straight up outgrossing Pirates from last year, but it's really great for all those involved that this is such a success! Limited Through June 7.

I'm a contributor for Broadway World now! My most recent article can be found here- a look at touring shows and their impact on currently running shows, and other musings. A full archive of my work can be found here!

Discuss below, please remember to keep it kind and civil.

Source- Broadway Grosses, Broadway Box Office -05/03/2026 (broadwayworld.com)

Happy Tony Nominations Day! Most shows were down from last week. The first week of May is typically a slower week for Broadway grosses, but with a lot of shows already on the bubble, once again almost every new show lost money this week, and some of the longer running shows had shockers of a week. But Tony Nominations came out today! This is typically the low point in April/May/June for the industry, and it'll be a ramp up from here through the Tony Awards.

Also sending everyone in and working on the Book of Mormon well wishes. Hopefully the production(/insurance) is covering wages through the canceled performances.

For Award Wins/Nominations, a * demarcates a best musical/best revival nomination/win.

Grosses (chronological order from opening)-

➡ The Great Gatsby - $805k, 78% capacity, $86 atp (Down ~$87k from last week). Began performances March 29, 2024, Open-Ended.

Gross Less-Fees: $709k; Estimated Weekly Operating Cost: $850k/week; Estimated Profit (Loss): ($0)-($100k)

2024 Award Wins: Outer Critics Circle (2), Drama Desk (1), Tony (1)

In the scheme of things Gatsby didn't have the worst week ever. They're about $100k less per week than they were a year ago, which is a little bit low for them, but I suspect as we head towards summer they'll tick back up just fine.

Estimated percentage recouped: 10%-30%

➡Maybe Happy Ending- $882k gross, 91% capacity, $125 atp (Down ~$82k from last week). Began performances October 16, 2024, Open-Ended

Gross Less-Fees: $838k; Weekly Operating Cost: $765k/week; Estimated Profit (Loss): $0-$100k

2025 Award Wins: New York Drama Critics (1*); Outer Critics Circle (4*); Drama League (2*); Drama Desk (6*); Tony (6*)

This was one of the weakest weeks for Maybe Happy Ending in the past year, but again they'll likely recover just fine. There are only two more weeks of Darren Criss in the role of Oliver, and I will be curious to know if there's any adverse impact from his departure.

Estimated percentage recouped: 30%-50%

➡Death Becomes Her- $574k gross, 57% capacity, $84 atp (Down ~$221k from last week). Began performances October 23, 2024, Open-Ended.

Gross Less-Fees: $499k; Estimated Weekly Operating Cost: $900k/week; Estimated Profit (Loss): ($100k+)

2025 Award Wins: Drama Desk (1); Tony (1)

These numbers should be setting off every alarm bell in the producers office. In the past six months, Death Becomes Her has dropped nearly $1 million per week at the box office. If things don't change this show could be looking at closing in the next few months, an unthinkable sentence over the winter.

Estimated percentage recouped: 10%-30%

➡Operation Mincemeat- $669k gross, 87% capacity, $122 atp (Down ~$86k from last week). Began performances February 15, 2025, Open-Ended.

Gross Less-Fees: $582k; Estimated Weekly Operating Cost: $560k/week; Estimated Profit (Loss): ($50k)-$50k

2025 Award Wins: Outer Critics Circle (1); Drama Desk (1); Tony (1)

Operation Mincemeat was in a stable spot prior to this week, and so they weathered the decrease well, and likely still made money. They continue to do very well.

Estimated percentage recouped: 10%-30%

➡Buena Vista Social Club- $767k gross, 91% capacity, $100 atp (Down ~$72k from last week). Began performances February 21, 2025, Open-Ended.

Gross Less-Fees: $668k; Estimated Weekly Operating Cost: $700k/week; Estimated Profit (Loss): $50k-($50k)

2024 Award Wins: Outer Critics Circle (1); Drama Desk (1)

2025 Award Wins: Chita Rivera (2); Tonys (5); Grammy (1)

BVSC slipped some, these are probably lower than sustainable grosses for them. Since they hit their one year mark they've basically been doing mid 800s, and even with this slip they're still in an alright spot.

Estimated percentage recouped: 10%-30%

➡Just in Time- $790k gross, 96% capacity, $150 atp (Down ~$89k from last week). Began performances March 31, 2025, Open-Ended.

Gross Less-Fees: $687k; Estimated Weekly Operating Cost: $600k/week; Estimated Profit (Loss): $0-$100k

2025 Award Wins: Outer Critics Circle (1); Drama Desk (2)

Jeremy Jordan is selling plenty of tickets at a good ticket price. The production is clearly going all in on him and Isa Briones, releasing several singles on streaming platforms from the show. Love to see it.

Estimated percentage recouped: 80%-100%

➡️Ragtime- $1.1 million gross, 99% capacity, $133 atp, (Down ~$53k from last week), Began performances September 26, Limited Through August 2, 2026

Gross Less-Fees: $973k; Estimated Weekly Operating Cost: $850k/week; Estimated Profit (Loss): $0-$100k

2026 Award Nominations: Drama League (5*); Outer Critics Circle (6*); Drama Desk (8*); Tonys (11*)

2026 Award Wins: Broadway Ensemble (2)

Once again only new musical production of this season that by my math that didn't lose money last week. Ragtime is the second most nominated musical revival in Tony Awards history with their 11, one behind the 2000 production of Kiss Me, Kate. They also announced a National Tour for the 2027/2028 season, which will help in their Tony push. Massive congratulations to everyone working on the show!

Estimated percentage recouped: N/A

➡️Chess- $972k gross, 75% capacity, $112 atp, (Down ~$55k from last week). Began performances October 15, 2025, Open-Ended.

Gross Less-Fees: $845k; Estimated Weekly Operating Cost: $900k/week; Estimated Profit (Loss): $0k-($100k)

2026 Award Nominations: Drama League (3*); Outer Critics Circle (2*); Drama Desk (2*); Tonys (5)

2026 Award Wins: Broadway Ensemble (4)

Chess had a tepid week all around. No Lea Michele nomination was something of a surprise to me, but I'm glad Nic Christopher and Bryce Pinkham and Hannah Cruz are getting their moment. They're ones to watch moving forward, with no Best Revival, and only one big ticket nomination, I don't see their fortunes massively improving in the next few weeks, outside of the bump from Lea Michele's final performances in June.

Estimated percentage recouped: 30%-50%

➡Two Strangers (Carry a Cake Across New York)- $506k gross, 69% capacity, $88 atp, (Down ~$32k from last week). Began Performances November 1, 2025, Open-Ended.

Gross Less-Fees: $430k; Estimated Weekly Operating Cost: $480k/week; Estimated Profit (Loss): $0k-($100k)

2026 Award Nominations: Drama League (2*); Outer Critics Circle (4*); Drama Desk (3*); Tonys (8*)

Not a great week gross wise for Two Strangers, but a decent one with the awards. 8 Tony nominations for a two-hander is phenomenal, and I think they'll pick up some in the next few weeks.

Estimated percentage recouped: 0%

➡Cats: The Jellicle Ball- $935k gross, 94% capacity, $107 atp, (Down -$75k from last week), Began Performances March 18, 2026, Open-Ended.

Gross Less-Fees: $800k; Estimated Weekly Operating Cost: $850k/week; Estimated Profit (Loss): ($0)-($100k)

*2025 Award Wins: Outer Critics Circle (2*); Drama Desks

2026 Award Nominations: Drama League (3*); Outer Critics Circle (1); Drama Desk (4); Tonys (9*)

Cats slipped a bit, and so are likely still just under their weekly breakeven. But a warm response at the Tony nominations will likely help that in the coming weeks. I'll be curious if they try and announce a tour to counter Ragtime...

Estimated percentage recouped: 0%

➡Titanique- $730k gross, 79% capacity, $86 atp, (Down ~$60k from last week), Began Performances March 18, 2026, Limited through September 20.

Gross Less-Fees: $624k; Estimated Weekly Operating Cost: $900k/week; Estimated Profit (Loss): ($100k+)

2026 Award Nominations: Drama League (3*); Drama Desk (1); Tonys (4*)

Titanique continues remain under their breakeven by nearly $200k. But there have been promising commercial signs the last few weeks. A Best Musical nomination today also definitely helps. And they've announced an extension!

Estimated percentage recouped: 0%

➡The Rocky Horror Show- $830k gross, 100% capacity, $105 atp, (Up ~$16k from last week), Began Performances March 26, 2026, Limited Through November 29.

Gross Less-Fees: N/A; Estimated Weekly Operating Cost: $750k/week; Estimated Profit (Loss): N/A

2026 Award Nominations: Drama League (4*); Outer Critics Circle (2*); Drama Desk (6*); Tonys (9*)

Rocky Horror was maybe the surprise winner with nominations today, equaling Cats: The Jellicle Ball's total. And they continue to do well at the box office, recently extending through the end of November. I suspect the fall will be very kind to them if nothing else.

Estimated percentage recouped: N/A

➡Beaches- $520k gross, 48% capacity, $84 atp, (Up ~$43k from last week), Began Performances March 18, 2026, Limited Through September 6.

Gross Less-Fees: $445k; Estimated Weekly Operating Cost: $850k/week; Estimated Profit (Loss): ($100k+)

2026 Award Nominations: Drama League (2*); Outer Critics Circle (1)

Beaches had one of their better weeks gross wise, though I feel for the cast, playing to less than half full houses on average. If you want to see it, get your tickets now, I don't think you have very long.

Estimated percentage recouped: 0%

➡The Lost Boys- $1.0 million gross, 85% capacity, $90 atp, (Up ~$106k from last week), Began Performances March 27, 2026, Open-Ended.

Gross Less-Fees: $858k; Estimated Weekly Operating Cost: $850k/week; Estimated Profit (Loss): $0-($100k)

2026 Award Nominations: Drama League (4*); Outer Critics Circle (11*); Drama Desk (5); Tonys (12*)

First week over the $1 million mark for The Lost Boys, and they tied Schmigadoon for the most nominations of the year with 12. Nomination count doesn't always mean anything, but certainly promising signs moving forward for them.

Estimated percentage recouped: 0%

➡Schmigadoon- $646k gross, 75% capacity, $92 atp (Up ~$24k from last week), Began Performances April 4, 2026, Open-Ended.

Gross Less-Fees: $552k; Estimated Weekly Operating Cost: $750k/week; Estimated Profit (Loss): ($100k+)

2026 Award Nominations: Drama League (2*); Outer Critics Circle (8*); Drama Desk (4*); Tony (12*)

Not a great week for Schmigadoon gross wise, I suspect they need to be putting up numbers closer to eight or nine hundred a week in order to be making money. But tying Lost Boys for the most nominations of the year, as well as being the only show other than Two Strangers to score a Best Musical nomination with all of the four major award groups, will certainly help.

Estimated percentage recouped: 0%

➡Play Roundup:

Stranger Things: The First Shadow- Whiplash of a week for them, once there are more tourists over the summer I suspect they'll do better. Open-ended.

Every Brilliant Thing- Death, taxes, and Daniel Radcliffe being an insane commercial draw on Broadway- the highest average ticket price of the week. Great week for them! Limited through June 28.

Death of a Salesman- One of the biggest hits of the spring, I had my doubts about them filling the Winter Garden but they're doing it. Adding in 9 Tony nominations (including Best Score) will also help. Limited Through August 9.

Giant- Giant managed a modest increase from last week, and continues to put up strong grosses. Limited Through June 28

Dog Day Afternoon- They've started to slip some, though holding over $1 million is certainly a good sign. Limited Through July 12.

Becky Shaw- Nice jump up for Becky Shaw, ticket price is still low but it's a season show for 2nd stage, and capacity is solid at least. Limited Through June 14

The Fear of 13- Fear of 13 is still struggling some for a star led play. Likely not losing money but they're not raking it in either. Limited Through July 12

Proof- Continues its strong run up to this point, just under the $1 million mark. Limited Through July 12

Joe Turner's Come and Gone- The other big surprise of the morning, the Tony nominating committee loved Joe Turner's Come and Gone. Hopefully they continue this run of success! Limited Through July 26

The Balusters- MTC shows usually start slow, and this is no exception. Limited Through June 7..

Fallen Angels- Continues to do really well for a play at the Haimes. Limited Through June 7.

I'm a contributor for Broadway World now! My most recent article can be found here- a look at touring shows and their impact on currently running shows, and other musings. A full archive of my work can be found here!

Discuss below, please remember to keep it kind and civil.

Source- Broadway Grosses, Broadway Box Office -04/26/2026 (broadwayworld.com)

Ok week for most shows this week, the increases this week made decent inroads on the drop from last week, though many shows are still on the lower side for where they want to be, and in particular new work continues to struggle. Awards season continues to heat up, with the Drama Desk nominations being announced tomorrow, and of course the Tony nominations being announced next Tuesday.

For Award Wins/Nominations, a * demarcates a best musical/best revival nomination/win.

Grosses (chronological order from opening)-

➡ The Great Gatsby - $893k, 88% capacity, $86 atp (Up ~$41k from last week). Began performances March 29, 2024, Open-Ended.

Gross Less-Fees: $786k; Estimated Weekly Operating Cost: $850k/week; Estimated Profit (Loss): ($0)-($100k)

2024 Award Wins: Outer Critics Circle (2), Drama Desk (1), Tony (1)

Better week than last for Gatsby but still lower grosses than what I would consider safe for them. But that said, these are decent grosses in relation to their peers.

Estimated percentage recouped: 10%-30%

➡Maybe Happy Ending- $964k gross, 91% capacity, $137 atp (Up ~$30k from last week). Began performances October 16, 2024, Open-Ended

Gross Less-Fees: $838k; Weekly Operating Cost: $765k/week; Estimated Profit (Loss): $0-$100k

2025 Award Wins: New York Drama Critics (1*); Outer Critics Circle (4*); Drama League (2*); Drama Desk (6*); Tony (6*)

Maybe Happy Ending jumped back up some after posting some of their lowest grosses in the past year last week. I think it will be interesting to see how they do once Darren Criss departs in a few weeks.

Estimated percentage recouped: 30%-50%

➡Death Becomes Her- $795k gross, 72% capacity, $92 atp (Up ~$45k from last week). Began performances October 23, 2024, Open-Ended.

Gross Less-Fees: $692k; Estimated Weekly Operating Cost: $900k/week; Estimated Profit (Loss): ($100k+)

2025 Award Wins: Drama Desk (1); Tony (1)

Death Becomes Her's struggles this spring continue, even with the increase these are likely unsustainable grosses for them. Hopefully the production can turn things around soon.

Estimated percentage recouped: 10%-30%

➡Operation Mincemeat- $756k gross, 96% capacity, $125 atp (Up ~$46k from last week). Began performances February 15, 2025, Open-Ended.

Gross Less-Fees: $657k; Estimated Weekly Operating Cost: $560k/week; Estimated Profit (Loss): $0k-$100k

2025 Award Wins: Outer Critics Circle (1); Drama Desk (1); Tony (1)

Mincemeat continues to age very gracefully in its second year. They are back to their $125 average ticket price target, having hit that now at least the past two weeks, and improving capacity in the meanwhile.

Estimated percentage recouped: 10%-30%

➡Buena Vista Social Club- $839k gross, 94% capacity, $107 atp (Up ~$17k from last week). Began performances February 21, 2025, Open-Ended.

Gross Less-Fees: $730k; Estimated Weekly Operating Cost: $700k/week; Estimated Profit (Loss): $50k-($50k)

2024 Award Wins: Outer Critics Circle (1); Drama Desk (1)

2025 Award Wins: Chita Rivera (2); Tonys (5); Grammy (1)

BVSC had a solid increase this week, I hope the dance along productions continue to be a success for them that's a fun idea and concept.

Estimated percentage recouped: 10%-30%

➡Just in Time- $880k gross, 99% capacity, $161 atp (Up ~$47k from last week). Began performances March 31, 2025, Open-Ended.

Gross Less-Fees: $765k; Estimated Weekly Operating Cost: $600k/week; Estimated Profit (Loss): $0-$100k

2025 Award Wins: Outer Critics Circle (1); Drama Desk (2)

Jeremy Jordan clocks in with solid grosses in his first week, just ahead of what Matthew Morrison was pulling. Houses are full, and ticket prices are as strong as ever.

Estimated percentage recouped: 80%-100%

➡️Ragtime-* $1.1 million gross, 100% capacity, $139 atp, (Up ~$19k from last week), Began performances September 26, Limited Through August 2, 20*26

Gross Less-Fees: $1.019 million; Estimated Weekly Operating Cost: $850k/week; Estimated Profit (Loss): $0-$100k

2026 Award Nominations: Drama League (5*); Outer Critics Circle (6*)

2026 Award Wins: Broadway Ensemble (2)

Once again only new musical production of this season that by my math that didn't lose money last week, and they had a solid increase to boot. They're already getting a warm response from awards nominating committees, especially for the cast (it's pretty rare that shows get more than four Drama League nominations, and they got 5 without Caissie Levy).

Estimated percentage recouped: N/A

➡️Chess-* $1.0 million gross, 77% capacity, $115 atp, (Up ~$21k from last week). Began performances October 15, 2025, Open-Ende*d.

Gross Less-Fees: $893k; Estimated Weekly Operating Cost: $900k/week; Estimated Profit (Loss): $0k-($100k)

2026 Award Nominations: Drama League (3*); Outer Critics Circle (2*)

2026 Award Wins: Broadway Ensemble (4)

Chess dropped their average ticket price target this week it seems, and they managed to fill the house more than they were managing previously, but these are still pretty low grosses for them. They're ones to watch, especially as awards season heats up.

Estimated percentage recouped: 30%-50%

➡Two Strangers (Carry a Cake Across New York)- $539k gross, 72% capacity, $90 atp, (Up ~$10k from last week). Began Performances November 1, 2025, Open-Ended.

Gross Less-Fees: $458k; Estimated Weekly Operating Cost: $480k/week; Estimated Profit (Loss): $50k-($50k)

2026 Award Nominations: Drama League (2*); Outer Critics Circle (4*)

Two Strangers has been hovering around this mark for almost a month now with very little deviation. I suspect they'll start showing more signs of life soon, but these grosses are honestly too low to be considered sustainable, even with the small scale of the show.

Estimated percentage recouped: 0%

➡Cats: The Jellicle Ball- $1.0 million, 96% capacity, $113 atp, (Up -$707 from last week), Began Performances March 18, 2026, Open-Ended.

Gross Less-Fees: $864k; Estimated Weekly Operating Cost: $850k/week; Estimated Profit (Loss): ($0)-($100k)

2025 Award Wins: Outer Critics Circle (2*)

2026 Award Nominations: Drama League (3*); Outer Critics Circle (1)

Cats had a very slight increase from last week, so a move in the right direction, though as I understand it they are right around/slightly below their weekly breakeven. But they don't have far to go, and once nominations they're actually eligible for come out I think they'll have a good response.

Estimated percentage recouped: 0%

➡Titanique- $790k gross, 86% capacity, $85 atp, (Up ~$38k from last week), Began Performances March 18, 2026, Limited through July 12.

Gross Less-Fees: $676k; Estimated Weekly Operating Cost: $900k/week; Estimated Profit (Loss): ($100k+)

2026 Award Nominations: Drama League (3*);

Titanique continues to climb steadily towards their breakeven, though they remain under it by nearly $200k. But these have been promising commercial signs the last two weeks.

Estimated percentage recouped: 0%

➡The Rocky Horror Show- $813k gross, 100% capacity, $103 atp, (Up ~$86k from last week), Began Performances March 26, 2026, Limited Through June 21.

Gross Less-Fees: N/A; Estimated Weekly Operating Cost: $750k/week; Estimated Profit (Loss): N/A

2026 Award Nominations: Drama League (4*); Outer Critics Circle (2*)

Rocky Horror had another really solid week, as many revivals often do early on. We'll see how it holds up but their strong start continues.

Estimated percentage recouped: N/A

➡Beaches- $476k gross, 64% capacity, $57 atp, (Up ~$3k from last week), Began Performances March 18, 2026, Limited Through September 6.

Gross Less-Fees: $408k; Estimated Weekly Operating Cost: $850k/week; Estimated Profit (Loss): ($100k+)

2026 Award Nominations: Drama League (2*); Outer Critics Circle (1)

Even amongst a crop of shows that are struggling, Beaches stands above the rest, these capacity figures and average ticket prices are unsustainable for a show of almost any size, let alone a full scale musical, I'm sorry to say. If you want to see it, you should plan to do so as soon as possible. Reviews aren't going to do much to positively influence this shows grosses.

Estimated percentage recouped: 0%

➡The Lost Boys- $897k gross, 90% capacity, $75 atp, (Down ~$61k from last week), Began Performances March 27, 2026, Open-Ended.

Gross Less-Fees: $767k; Estimated Weekly Operating Cost: $850k/week; Estimated Profit (Loss): $0-($100k)

2026 Award Nominations: Drama League (4*); Outer Critics Circle (11*)

Lost Boys had an ok week, given that it was their opening week, so lots of press comps and opening night comp tickets in here, and capacity has remained strong. Next week the rubber meets the road a bit, and they'll be ones to watch moving forward.

Estimated percentage recouped: 0%

➡Schmigadoon- $621k gross, 85% capacity, $79 atp (Down ~$9k from last week), Began Performances April 4, 2026, Open-Ended.

Gross Less-Fees: $504k; Estimated Weekly Operating Cost: $750k/week; Estimated Profit (Loss): ($100k+)

2026 Award Nominations: Drama League (2*); Outer Critics Circle (8*)

For an opening week Schmigadoon did ok, given that one performance was almost entirely free. These are likely unsustainable grosses from them though, so hopefully in the coming weeks they start to pick things up.

Estimated percentage recouped: 0%

➡️Play Roundup:

Stranger Things: The First Shadow- Back up over $1 million after dipping down last week. I think this summer tourist will be very telling for the future of this show. Open-ended.

Every Brilliant Thing- Death, taxes, and Daniel Radcliffe being an insane commercial draw on Broadway. Great week for them! Limited through June 28.

Death of a Salesman- One of the biggest hits of the spring, I had my doubts about them filling the Winter Garden but they're doing it. Limited Through August 9.

Giant- Giant managed a modest increase from last week, and continues to put up strong grosses. Limited Through June 28

Dog Day Afternoon- They've started to slip some, though holding over $1 million is certainly a good sign. Limited Through July 12.

Becky Shaw- Nice jump up for Becky Shaw, ticket price is still low but it's a season show for 2nd stage, and capacity is solid at least. Limited Through June 14

The Fear of 13- Fear of 13 is still struggling some for a star led play. Likely not losing money but they're not raking it in either. Limited Through July 12

Proof- Continues its strong run up to this point, just under the $1 million mark. Limited Through July 12

Joe Turner's Come and Gone- Opening week which likely accounts for the majority of the dip here. Decent slate of reviews though, hopefully that translates into good grosses for them moving forward! Limited Through July 26

The Balusters- MTC shows usually start slow, and this is no exception. Limited Through May 24.

Fallen Angels- Continues to do really well for a play at the Haimes. Limited Through June 7.

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