u/BAGross85

Remember, after 3:25 ET there is no stoppage for the first two circuit breakers.

It can go straight to -20%.

But I watched CNBC today. And I heard Wapner say “bubble” and “crash” a FEW times. It was very low key, and I didn’t know if it was a signal, or reverse psychology. It wasn’t in context though, it was inserted in sentences NOT referring to the market in general. (My bet is signal).

Either way I bought (and have been) buying heavy OTM options in either direction. 0DTEs are hit and miss, but 2 and 3-day options are working quite well. We’ve had 80% of our trading days in the last month fall within the 1st-10th percentile of upper and lower intraday ranges on index funds. That means when it moves, it’s moved HARD. When it doesn’t, it doesn’t HARD.

I analyze daily movements in a frequency-distribution based on historical volatility. This type of lock-step with rapid movements upward is a combination of 1929, 1987, and 2000. Ironically, 2008 isn’t showing any metrics in here: and actually it makes sense: they’re not trying to prop up a fair and bubbly commodities market here until they get out: they’re trying to SUPPRESS it. Turns out, priniting an extra 9 trillion dollars and selling it to yourself makes your currency weaker (but when everyone else prints a proportionate amount of money, it doesn’t cause the forex needles to move much).

Mark my words, the FED will have to choose between the USD and the NYSE. One will crash and one will rise. That’s why I went all in on both rising and both crashing. Heavy on the crashing. My bet is the Fed chooses the dollar. If the stock market crashes, unrealized inflation will crash, thus realized inflation will crash (as regarded as it sounds, they include the price of eggs in their inflation calculations, but not the price of hourly wages to index share cost) and essentially the dollar will be stabilized.

They still haven’t solved the economic crisis that will be produced, and they won’t. The business cycle demands a recession. But one thing is for certain, they will never, ever, ever, EVER let the 401(k) of the people be sold at the top: almost 1/3 of the treasury bonds are owned by the 401(k)s (most people have 10% treasury bond investments in their mix because they don’t understand how 401(k) investment allocations work). If the 401(k)s sell now, without fresh money coming in, then the dollar will be dragged down with the market. They must first crash the market before allowing unemployment to materialize and 401(k)s to be dumped by people who are trying to afford their basic living.

*Edited for grammar and clarity