▲ 1 r/ValueInvesting
Poll question: What probability do you assign that AI-driven structural job displacement will raise U.S. unemployment by at least 3 percentage points above its normal level at least once over 5, 10, and 20 year frames. 8% total.
(Exclude ordinary recessions unless AI is the primary cause. Let’s say odds the country stays below 8% overall)
My guess:
5 year under 10%,
10 year 20%,
20 year at 25%.
Thanks
u/AveryMire — 1 day ago