u/ArtNoLimit

- $3,137 in net profit from 146 transactions.

The strategy is simple:

Look for weather markets with extremely low or high probabilities and bet against the crowd.

How it works:

-> Buys "No" on unlikely exact temperatures for 0.2–3¢
-> Buy Yes at realistic price ranges up to 50¢
-> Diversifies across London, NYC, Hong Kong, Seoul, and Jakarta simultaneously

Top 3 deals:

Seoul 19°C: $10 -> $4,545 (+45,354%)
NYC min 56–57°F: $16 -> $556 (+3,306%)
London 15°C in May: $154 -> $1,344 (+770%)

While most people are watching crypto, he's reading the weather forecast

CHECK HIS PROFILE

Polymarket is marketed as “wisdom of the crowd,” but the profit data looks more like poker with a public scoreboard:

WSJ found that just 0.1% of accounts captured 67% of profits, while 70%+ of users lost money.

The interesting part is that the winners are not necessarily “better at predicting the future” they are likely insiders, better at pricing, arbitrage, market-making, using bots, and entering before retail piles into obvious narratives.

Check All-time Polymarket traders leaderboard.

He only bets “No” and keeps winning.

I saw him deploy 289K without a single loss.

He is not trading price. He is trading outcomes that almost never happen.

The idea is simple:

EV equals probability of No times payout minus cost.

When a market prices “BTC drops to 30K” at 99 cents, the upside sits in saying No.

What he does

1. find extreme targets people fear
2. take the No side when prices push into 89 to 99 cents
3. spread positions across levels like 15K, 20K, 25K, 30K, 35K, 40K, 45K
4. size positions between 46K and 149K

Largest single win was 26.8K.

Around 885K sits active right now and keeps growing.

CHECK HIS PROFILE