u/Antony9991

These are our possible R32 matchups based on statistical probabilities depending where we finish at in the group stage (used OPTA stats and 3rd place matchup probabilities):

If we're group winners:

Bosnia 20.2%

Qatar 18.4%

Canada 15.2%

Switzerland 12.6%

Algeria 4.3%

Senegal 4.2%

Jordan 3.9%

Austria 3.9%

Senegal 3.5%

Norway 2.8%

Iraq 2.8%

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Second in the group:

Egypt 28.3%

Iran 26.6%

Belgium 25.9%

New Zealand 19.2%

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Third in the group:

Germany 38.5%

France 18%

Ecuador 17.9%

Norway 7.6%

Ivory Coast 6.7%

Senegal 3.5%

Portugal 3.4%

Colombia 1.7%

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That possible US vs Iran matchup 👀