u/AndrasKrigare

Rank Team Record Elo (fresh)
1 DC 4-1 1597
2 Orlando 4-1 1551
3 St. Louis 3-2 1527
4 Louisville 2-3 1512
5 Dallas 3-2 1484
6 Columbus 1-4 1453
7 Houston 2-3 1448
8 Birmingham 1-4 1429
Rank Team Record Elo (including 2025)
1 DC 4-1 1644
2 St. Louis 3-2 1557
3 Dallas 3-2 1497
4 Orlando 4-1 1477
5 Columbus 1-4 1471
6 Houston 2-3 1458
7 Louisville 2-3 1449
8 Birmingham 1-4 1448

For anyone not familiar, Elo is a rating system invented for chess that takes strength of opponent into account. These results were calculated copying 538's method of using margin-of-victoy. I have one version where the team's starting position is based off of their last-season results and one where all start at 1500.

Interestingly, Elo puts Columbus above Houston despite the record difference, because when Columbus has lost, it's been close (with the exception of DC and Orlando who both are high elo), and their win was substantial. You can also see the Louisville/Dallas swing; before the game Dallas was pretty high and Louisville pretty low, but Louisville won by such a large margin that it flipped them.

u/AndrasKrigare — 18 days ago