help me understand this semiconductor risk
Everyone's talking about "is it too late", "should I buy more" of MU/DRAM/SNDK
Help me math the math. MU is roughly $750 today, and it's increased 84% last month alone, and 214% last 6 months. Even if there was a 30% crash RIGHT now, you'd be be massively up.
For example, if you bought MU for $100 last month, it would be $184 today. If it crashed by 30% right this moment, you'd be at $128.8, STILL 30% up from last month.
a) These stocks are climbing up daily with re-pricing given its new configurations and role in the AI infrastructure. You sit on it for a little bit and you'd have already mitigated the worst possible outcome of massive correction
b) 30% was also an exaggerated number given real-demand of memory, real revenues/profits, and real increase in capex.
With all this in mind, why WOULDNT you want to DCA in semiconductor sector right now? please help me math this risk/benefit assessment