How did startup ADP change after the draft? Biggest rookie winners/losers + vets getting squeezed
I pulled this from the new ADP Snapshot Compare free tool on Dynasty Data Lab.
This is startup ADP, comparing post-draft ADP (4/23 - 5/11) vs pre-draft ADP(3/23-4/23) of superflex leagues.
Positive movement means the player is going earlier now. Negative movement means they’re cheaper than they were before the draft.
| Player | Pre-draft ADP | Post-draft ADP | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jadarian Price | 95.7 | 70.2 | +25.5 |
| Matthew Golden | 123.4 | 115.6 | +7.8 |
| Cam Skattebo | 74.6 | 67.4 | +7.3 |
| Kyle Monangai | 107.2 | 100.4 | +6.8 |
| Jordyn Tyson | 62.4 | 56.4 | +6.0 |
| Carnell Tate | 46.8 | 43.0 | +3.9 |
The biggest thing here is Price that has a full tier jump in startup cost.
The rookie/prospect fallers were interesting too, especially at TE:
| Player | Pre-draft ADP | Post-draft ADP | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Denzel Boston | 102.4 | 119.1 | -16.7 |
| Makai Lemon | 50.5 | 63.1 | -12.6 |
| Kenyon Sadiq | 70.5 | 82.8 | -12.3 |
| Omar Cooper | 93.6 | 101.4 | -7.9 |
| Harold Fannin | 43.6 | 51.2 | -7.6 |
| Colston Loveland | 24.1 | 28.7 | -4.6 |
| Tyler Warren | 32.0 | 36.4 | -4.5 |
Loveland/Warren/Fannin all sliding a bit surprised me. They’re still expensive, but the market cooled after the draft instead of pushing them up.
For veterans inside the top 100, the losses were less dramatic, but a few names got squeezed:
| Player | Pre-draft ADP | Post-draft ADP | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kyler Murray | 82.3 | 87.4 | -5.1 |
| Baker Mayfield | 66.4 | 70.8 | -4.4 |
| Jared Goff | 65.0 | 69.2 | -4.2 |
| Trey McBride | 12.1 | 15.5 | -3.4 |
| Sam LaPorta | 67.0 | 70.3 | -3.3 |
| Chris Olave | 38.5 | 41.4 | -2.9 |
Nothing massive there, but that’s kind of the point. The rookie market got shaken around more aggressively, while most top-100 veterans just got nudged down a few spots.
The elite rookie tier mostly held its shape. Jeanty, Hampton, Tet, Egbuka, Henderson, Judkins, etc. didn’t swing wildly. The bigger movement came after that first wave, where landing spots and draft capital seemed to matter more.
Data came from the new ADP comparison tool on Dynasty Data Lab. You can find that ADP report here: