u/Adacyn

https://preview.redd.it/3qhv984ujjzg1.png?width=1594&format=png&auto=webp&s=8d6ddcb99f40fe0a78bf8b73d522240016678a63

Now forecasting the peak NINO3.4 SST anomaly of this year's El Niño between 2.2 and 3.8 °C. Up significantly from the April forecast. Strong El Niño is considered above 1.5 °C and super above 2 °C. The strongest recorded so far was in 2015/2016 at 2.8 °C.

Link to data:

https://charts.ecmwf.int/products/seasonal_system5_nino_plumes?base_time=202605010000&nino_area=NINO3-4