How could Jesus have been crucified in 33 AD? (In light of John 2:20)
TLDR: John references 27 AD, how could it be 33 AD?
I most commonly hear "fifteenth year of the reign of Tiberius Caesar". But we have a much more precise number from John 2:20: "It has taken forty-six years to build this temple"
"fifteenth year of the reign of Tiberius Caesar" \[Luke 3:1\] is highly debated due to when his 15th year would start and end. It would shift depending on the calendar used and if Luke could have been counting from 12AD. (when Tiberius gained "power equal to his own \[Augustus's\] in all the provinces and armies" \[Velleius Paterculus, Compendium of Roman History 2.121.1–2\])
= With a wide range this would result in 25 AD Sep - 29 AD Aug 18
John's reference is much more precise. We know Herod became "king" of Judea in 40BC by Rome \[Ant. 14.14.5, cf. war: 14.15\], controlled Judea by 37 BC Ant. 14.16.4 cf. 15.2.2\] and then started the temple in 20 BC May - 19 BC Oct. (18 years after Ant. 15.11.1) add 46 years, making sure to skip year 0, use \*inclusive counting\* as Romans and Syrians would have used then, and account for the fact it was on a Passover (Mar/Apr) and you arrive at:
= 27 AD Passover - (Or 26 if early/rounded) (if it meant "was built forty-six years ago" it would still be 27+1.5 28-29 AD, too early for 33 AD. But also why would a person reference 46 years ago for how long it would take Jesus to raise it again)
The most common ways I have seen to reconcile this is: 1: he died on 27 AD which would put the Friday Passover as 15 Nisan which I still need to research. 2: Jesus died on 30 AD, 3 years after John's cleansing of the temple, but the 2 cleansing theory seems unlikely to me due to how similar they are written. But possible. 3: 6 years of Jesus ministry, which I have been told is very unlikely.
How could Jesus have possibly been crucified in 33 AD with this knowledge?
(Or just other insights welcome : ) )