u/4_lights_data

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⚠️ +0% Job Growth Used to Signal a Recession Had Started

Zero job growth (year/year) despite +2.0% GDP growth in Q1 2026? That's a pretty weird combo. In almost every instance since the 1940s, +0% year/year employment growth meant a recession *had already started*. But, this might be the first time in history where the economy consistently grows while employment shrinks - a totally plausible outcome in the age of AI.

u/4_lights_data — 10 days ago