I had Buckley as my underdog lock of the week, my last call was prates KO and sprinkle rd3. Check out my YT if you wanna see LazyMMA.
Buckley is my LOTW and I got him at +155 but now he’s a -210.
I got a fat cashout offer but I don’t wanna cash however I’m scared they might pull the fight.
What would you do?
Hey everyone I wanna introduce myself as I finally wanna begin doing write ups as inspired by the legends in this sub reddit like u/sideswipe781 and u/Slayers_Picks the OG cappers in this sub. Shout out to them!
Been a fan of the sport since around the khabib and connor era, it started with my big brother introducing me to BJJ via "come here lemme show you something fucker" and putting me into a RNC. From there I started BJJ classes and fell in love with the ufc shortly after, now years later now training Muay Thai with my grappling because of the UFC. I haven't missed a PPV, Fightnight, or DWCS in 4 years (with the exceptional dogshit apex, cuz hit the bar instead, thanks dana ❤️) . I live and breath this sport, I love the banter, and I love actually discussing picks not r#tarded 20 leg parlays.
I got a YT channel, Tiktok and IG ill link below. Now I'll get to the picks.
Lifetime Record
Staked: 0.00 Profit/Loss: 0.00
ROI: 0.00 Picks: 0-0
JDM VS CARLOS PRATES:
Maaaaan, I am excited for this match up but a little sad about how heartless MMA can be, shes a fickle bitch. This is going to be a match up for the fans, we have a striker VS striker matchup with two differing approaches, one being a string together boxer in JDM and a Muay Thai 8-limb specialist in Carlos prates. A somewhat important edge in this fight would be the grappling department edge in JDMs arsenal, ill get to that later. Let's start off with JDM. JDM is coming off that tough loss against islam makchev, granted it was boring for the fans, but that said I saw holes in JDMs game aside from the mental (don't forget the pouty face, sorry JDM I love you but its true). Islam posed a threat non stop, obviously the grappling, but in moments of dead air JDM was caught up with TD threats and thus islam chopped at his leg a few times and it clearly impacted him. But why is this relevant? You see JDM is a boxer, a style notriously heavy on the lead leg, thus a element of neccessity of stance switching for boxers. When JDM is occupied else where he tends to get his leg chopped, peep the holland fight and basil fight. I think this is a massive hole Carlos prates can exploit throughout the fight, but what can JDM do to combat this?.....Introduce the grappling advantage you have, this is a 25 minute fight stretch it out if neccessary, break him down. He's even said it the whole week himself I expect a 25 minute hard fight and I think he knows he needs to disrupt carlos rhythm and so introducing the TDS can do so. That's exactly what garry did, he never let carlos get into his rhythm because once carlos is on, hes ON! So JDM's best bet is MIXING the MARTIAL arts, threatning the TD so we can rip to the body, actually landing the TD threatnning subs and GDP. But he needs to fight a almost perfect 25 to do that and his "perfect" 25 was against belal muhammed and BM landed 138 of his own. What happens if Carlos even lands a fraction of 138....... So Now let's move onto prates. Prates is coming off another SPECTACULAR KO victory over leon edwards, a dude never Koed in 25 pro fights....spark out. Prates really has the death touch look at his cross against leon, spinning ELBOW ko over geoff neal, knee to the liver against radtke, left hook over Li jingliang, knee to the head against trevin gills. This dude has so many tools, hes got the reach, he's got the length (teeps and leg kicks very important), he's got the knees, clinch, and elbows. Carlos doesn't land pitter patter shots, he lands with INTENT. Recently a major improvement in his game has been his springyness and movement, prior he was very muay thai-ish in the sense he was a plant and bang striker, but now he cuts angles and sets up shots, something he failed to do against garry but that loss has resulted in these major improvements. Carlos needs to be aware of the grappling game whilst acknowledging the danger in the boxing range. The wide array of tools he has needs to be deployed throughout this fight, use leg kicks to break down his stance, steeps to maintain distance, jabs and crosses to disrupt rhythm and finally....rip the crazy fucking elbows such as the one you did against geoff neal when you feel him desperately trying to force boxing range. I think if Carlos maintains range and breaks it in neccessary moments to land devasting shots such as the knee up the middle, or elbow, he can finish JDM in the land down under........
How I line this fight: Carlos -150 JDm +120
Bet or pass: Carlos KO +160 2U, Sprinkle RD 2 and 3
I don't use Ai slop and this is last second so I can't get around (and im too lazy) to the other fights, but I will be locked in to next weeks fights. Follow me on YT! Love this sub and shout out Side and Slayers